Thursday, June 7, 2007

Romney Campaign Chair Rips Iowa GOP Rank and File

Days Until Bush Leaves Office = 593

Today's Washington Post ran a great article on the movers and shakers at senior levels in campaigns on both the Democratic and Republican sides in Iowa. Reading through the article, I came across one quote that made me actually gasp, from Mitt Romney's Iowa Campaign Chairman, Des Moines attorney Doug Gross:


"As Romney's Gross sees it, it is best to go after party regulars. 'What you're getting into here is a college student-council race. You have to get the big sororities and fraternities to show up for you,' says the genial 52-year-old, whose 20th-story office looks across at the state Capitol's gold dome. 'The rest of the people won't even know what's going on.'"


Maybe Gross is right, and ordinary Iowa Republican voters are ignorant of what's going on in their own state party. I am not a Republican, obviously, and can't speak for anyone on that side, but if somebody from a Democratic campaign made this statement about me as an ordinary voter, I would be more than a little irate about being written off as too stupid to bother with. I might even vow to back anyone but that campaign's candidate, just to get my point across.




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Monday, June 4, 2007

Moderators in Moderation

Days Until Bush Leaves Office = 596

Nothing earthshattering in last night's debate, but the Dodd campaign sent along their tally of who spoke for how long, which I find interesting:

- Senator Biden: 7:58, 10 questions
- Senator Clinton: 14:26, 15 questions
- Senator Dodd: 8:28, 9 questions
- Senator Edwards: 11:42, 13 questions
- Senator Gravel: 5:37, 10 questions
- Congressman Kucinich: 9:02, 9 questions
- Senator Obama: 16:00, 16 questions
- Governor Richardson: 10:48, 11 questions
- Wolf Blitzer: 13:24

Judging from these numbers, it seems clear that CNN's focus in last night's debate was on Clinton and Obama...and Wolf Blitzer. Not that Wolf didn't do an okay job as moderator, I guess, but when he gets as much mic time as two of the actual candidates (Dodd and Gravel) combined, something is out of whack.



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Thursday, May 31, 2007

The Candidate I'll Be Supporting for President

Days Until Bush Leaves Office = 599



Since starting this blog this past January, I’ve had the opportunity to meet, or at least shake hands with, every candidate in the Democratic field who has made a visit to Iowa. I’ve heard their ideas, or at least their rhetoric. I’ve had a chance to see how they perform in front of crowds large and small. I’m as star-struck by Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, as moved by the personal story of John Edwards, as impressed by the résumé of Bill Richardson, and appreciative of the Senate careers of Joe Biden and Chris Dodd, as anybody. I’ve heard the policy speeches on Iraq and health care, climate change and energy. I’ve been on the conference calls with the candidates, and heard them make the case about why they are uniquely qualified to lead the United States at this critical moment in history. I’ve watched the debates. I’ve sized them up, weighed the pros and cons, scrutinized their records. I’ve looked them in the eye, and taken the temperature of the fire in their bellies.

I now have to face the question of whether the time has come to declare support for one candidate above the others.

I’m happy to say this is not an easy choice to make. The Democratic roster this cycle is arguably the most impressive ever fielded by the party. Any one of the candidates I mention above could legitimately serve as president, and would do a better job of it than any Republican candidate this cycle, and, I need hardly say, the current incumbent. And, to an unusual degree, they all will have a future in national politics and running for the White House again after the 2008 election is over. In my view, however, one stands above the rest on experience, on leadership, on political courage, on character and integrity, and the strength of the ideas they have brought to this campaign.

Today, I am proud to announce that I support (insert name here) for President of the United States.



Okay, so I’ve been playing with you a little bit in this post. But I do have a serious point to make. While a number of others in the Iowa Democratic blogosphere have already thrown their support to a given candidate, or at least voted one or more off the island, I think it’s too early to jump quite yet. This is not only because we still have many months to go before caucus night, but also – and perhaps more to the point – because I haven’t actually seen what I think is the best shot from any of the candidates. Not yet. The candidates and their staffs are all out there working hard, and none of them, I’m convinced, is in this for any other reason than to win. But the day when the message, the moment and the candidate click together to lock in not just my approval, not just my respect, but my gut-level conviction that no one else but they will do as my choice for president, has yet to arrive.

So here’s my point, made to both the candidates and their staffs: there are more undecideds here in Iowa than you may think. And we’re waiting. On you. To win us over.

Keep coming to Iowa. Keep working hard. And then find the moment when you go beyond the ordinary day-to-day of the campaign, and show us greatness. Show us greatness on experience, on leadership, on political courage, on character and integrity, and the strength of the ideas you bring to this campaign. And I promise you, when that moment comes, we will, in our blogs, in our letters to the editor, in our canvassing, phone banking, fundraising, event attendance, and every other campaign capacity you can think of, show greatness right back to you.

And that is how we will win, both in Iowa next January, and across the country the following November.

A moment yet to come. A moment that will be. I can’t wait!



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Wednesday, May 30, 2007

Dodd to Introduce Iraq Redeployment Legislation

Days Until Bush Leaves Office = 600

At 4:00 CDT today, Chris Dodd will be doing a live blog event over at FireDogLake to discuss his plans to introduce an amendment to the upcoming Defense Authorization bill that would end American military involvement in Iraq. According to a press release from the Dodd campaign, the ammendment will:



  • Immediately begin redeployment of U.S. combat troops.
  • Set a firm deadline for completing redeployment by March 31, 2008.
  • Provide no additional funding for combat operations after March 31, 2008.
  • Hold the Bush Administration accountable during the redeployment period by requiring the Secretary of Defense to regularly report to Congress on the drawdown of forces.
  • Institute measures that would make funding within the redeployment period contingent on the progress of phased redeployment.
  • Restore the readiness of the military, Reserves and National Guard by transferring portions of monies that would have been available for combat activities.


"The current policy in Iraq has left us less secure and left our standing in the world in tatters. That is why we have to continue the fight to change course," Dodd said in a press release issued by the campaign. "The Dodd Amendment will improve accountability, provide a timetable for the Iraqi government to get its house in order, and safely and responsibly redeploy our troops and bring them home. Now is the time to responsibly bring an end to our involvement in another country's civil war while rebuilding our Reserve and Guard units."


Should be an interesting on-line event, so check it out. Again that's 4:00 CDT today at FireDogLake.






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Richardson on Energy: “Change Fast, or Sink Slowly”

Days Until Bush Leaves Office = 600

Meant to get this done a before heading off on vacation a couple of weeks ago, but haven't got around to it until now. Better late than never.

Like Hillary Clinton before him, New Mexico Governor and presidential candidate Bill Richardson on May 17 called for an "Apollo" program on energy, expanding on the points I heard him address at last month's Polk County Spring Dinner.

Richardson's proposal aims to combine reductions in energy consumption and carbon emissions to achieve specific targets tied to the year 2020. In practical terms, the plan consists of three main aspects:
I - Reduce US Oil Consumption
II - Increase Efficiency for Electrical Producers
III - Reduce Carbon Emissions by at Least 20% by 2020

Here are the specifics. Get your wonk hat on!

I - Reduce US Oil Consumption
Current US oil consumption is 21 million barrels per day; Richardson’s plan would seek to reduce this by at least 6 million barrels per day by the year 2020 through implementation of the following measures:
• Save 2 million barrels per day through widespread adoption of pure electric and low oil-consuming plug-in electrical passenger vehicles, with fuel efficiency up to 100 mpg . Richardson’s plan envisions “significant” rebates to consumers who purchase these vehicles, and support for manufacturers.
• Save up to 3 million barrels per day by increasing fuel efficiency standards for conventional cars and light trucks to 50 mpg by 2020.
• Save up to 2 million barrels per day through use of low-carbon alternative fuels; according to Richardson, this would also reduce the carbon impact from liquid fuels up to 30% by 2020.
• Save 1 million barrels per day through improved fuel economy for trains, trucks, ships and planes and non-transportation sectors.

According to Richardson, these measures will reduce America’s percentage of imported oil consumed from 65% to 10%.

II - Increase Efficiency for Electrical Producers
• Richardson’s plan calls for the renewable content of electrical production to be increased to 30% of all production by 2020 and 50% by 2050, through implementation of the following measures:
• Retire older, less efficient power plants
• Replace older plants with plants that utilize wind, solar, geothermal and biomass
• Legislation requiring 20% increase in electricity production by 2020


III - Reduce Carbon Emissions by at Least 20% by 2020
• Market-based cap-and trade system for carbon emissions, which means, under Richardson’s plan, that carbon-emitting factories will be required to produce 20% less carbon output by 2020. “It’s like musical chairs for carbon,” Richardson says. “By 2050 there will be 90% fewer chairs.”
• Expanded use of “carbon-clean coal”


There’s a lot to like about Richardson’s plan: it’s measurable, it recognizes the interdependence between energy and climate policy, it capitalizes on America’s strengths in science and technology, and it would help change our status from an energy dinosaur to what Richardson called a “beacon of the new energy future.” But there is one aspect of the plan, in my view, that calls for a bit of debate, and that is basing the carbon emissions reduction targets on a cap-and-trade system, versus an outright carbon tax as called for by Chris Dodd in his own energy plan. Both have advantages, in that cap-and-trade creates capital-driven incentives to reduce carbon emissions, and a carbon tax, as Dodd has said, would remove the last incentive for unrestricted carbon emissions – it’s cheaper. I’d like to see a bit more discussion of these two approaches and their respective merits as the campaign progresses.

Overall, though, these are the types of ideas that allow Richardson to display the practical advantages of his résumé, and that’s got to play well for his campaign. He’s riding a bounce in the polls driven by his “job interview” ads; it’s up to Governor Richardson now to build on that momentum by delivering a greatly improved performance in next week’s debate.




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Thursday, May 17, 2007

For What It's Worth

Days Until Bush Leaves Office = 613

The SF278 financial disclosure reports for (most of) the presidential candidates are in, and the news, as usual, isn't really news: the person you support for President - from whatever side of the aisle - is rich as Croesus, probably.

Here are some candidate net worth highlights gleaned from the filings:

Edwards: $22 - $62 million
Giuliani: $20 - $70 million
Richardson: $3.5 - $10.1 million
Brownback: $3.3 - $8.7 million
Dodd: $1.5 - $3.5 million
Hunter: $1 - $2.4 million
Obama: $456,000 - $1,140,000
Huckabee: $350,000 - $900,000
Biden: $62,000 - $428,000

By some stunning coincidence, those candidates expected to report the highest financial worth have all filed with the F.E.C. for 45 day extensions on completing their disclosure reports:
Romney: expected to report $190 - $250 million
Clinton: expected to report at least $50 million
McCain: expected to report at least $15 million

Historically, American voters tend to view wealth among their political leaders with indulgence, and, golly-gee-gosh Zelda, we all know a million dollars isn't what it used to be. But there's also tension in the public mind between tolerance for wealth among political leaders and contempt for the way that same wealth separates "them" from "us." The Edwards haircut thing and Giuliani's missteps in setting up a campaign event at an Iowa farm earlier this month are but the latest examples of this, and one needn't look very hard to find lots of others.

So, whether Democrat or Republican, we'll glance over these figures with a mixture of suspicion, pride, envy, and bemusement. And then we'll move on to other things, as is probably wise. From our first president, a landed aristocrat, to the current occupant at 1600, Americans usually don't let great personal wealth cloud our view of who we'll vote in to the highest office in the land. And isn't that broad minded of us?



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Wednesday, May 16, 2007

I'm Just Saying

Days Until Bush Leaves Office = 614

Former Senate Democratic Leader Tom Daschle of South Dakota is in Des Moines this weekend. And he's not even running for President.

Among other things, Daschle will be delivering a speech Friday night at the Temple for the Performing Arts downtown on the future of American national security. Then, on Saturday, Daschle will be the featured speaker at the "grand opening" of Barack Obama's Iowa HQ over in the East Village at 12 noon. Never mind that the Des Moines HQ has been up and running since, what, March? February, maybe? The main point for Saturday is that it's about introductions. Introduction of Obama to Iowans? Hardly needed, since I think just about every Democrat in the state has crammed one gym or another to crane their necks around the TV cameras for a gander at Barack. Introduction of Tom Daschle to Iowans? Could be. But Tom Daschle is not running for President.

So here's the thing: Obama/Daschle 2008?

I'm just saying.



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Richardson to Unveil Energy Proposals

Days Until Bush Leaves Office = 614

New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson will make what his campaign is touting as a "major policy address" on energy tomorrow in a speech to the New America Foundation at the Washington Hilton in D.C.

Since one of Richardson's past jobs was Secretary of Energy in the Clinton administration, his proposals should be interesting. At a speech in Des Moines last month, Richardson proposed a 10-year "Apollo program" to shift from fossil fuels to renewable energy; one feature of the plan would be a 40 mpg target for automobiles, which Richardson said would in itself completely eliminate the need to import oil from abroad. We'll see what he has to add to that tomorrow.

I'll also be on a conference call with Richardson following the speech, so check back for updates after noontime tomorrow.



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Tuesday, May 15, 2007

Richardson Takes "Presidential Job Interview" Show on the Road

Days Until Bush Leaves Office = 615

New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson announced plans today to campaign in Southeastern Iowa. In an original and very clever twist, Richardson is billing the campaign appearances as "Presidential Job Interviews," building on the buzz generated by the ad campaign he launched last week.

In addition to campaign stops in the Council Bluffs area, Governor Richardson is also scheduled to deliver the keynote address to the Young Democrats of America Spring 2007 National Conference on Friday, May 18, in Omaha, Nebraska. Here's the schedule, as released by Richardson's campaign:


Friday, May 18th
Keynote Address to Young Democrats of America Spring 2007 National Conference
7 P.M. @ Marriott Hotel
10220 Regency Circle, Omaha, Nebraska

Saturday, May 19th
MontgomeryCountyPresidential Job Interview
10:15 A.M.@ Kate & Lainie’s Coffee House
322 E. Coolbaugh, Red Oak, Iowa

Fremont & Page Counties Presidential Job Interview
12:00 P.M.@ Depot Deli and Lounge
101 North Railroad Ave., Shenandoah, Iowa

MillsCountyPresidential Job Interview
2:15 P.M.@ Log Cabin BBQ
204 Sharp Street, Glenwood, Iowa

PottawattamieCountyPresidential Job Interview
4:15 P.M.@ Residence of Kevin Burr
540 Coronado Circle, Carter Lake, Iowa



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Chris Dodd Goes on the Air

Days Until Bush Leaves Office = 615

Following Bill Richardson and John Edwards, Chris Dodd today launched campaign ads in Iowa and New Hampshire. The topic: Iraq.

Like, duh.


Here's the script for the first spot, a 30-second ad called "Civil":

CHRIS DODD: Half measures won't stop this president from continuing our involvement in Iraq's civil war. That's why I'm fighting for the only responsible measure in Congress that would take away the President's blank check and set a timetable to bring our troops home.

Unfortunately, my colleagues running for President have not joined me. I'm Chris Dodd. I'm running for President. I approved this message because we can't simply wait for a new President. We should have the conviction to stand up to this one.


OK, so I guess the kidding around is just about over for Dodd. I've been seeing stuff coming out from his campaign about calling the other candidates to find out where they stand on Feingold-Reid (or, as the campaign started referring to it, "Feingold-Reid-Dodd"), calling on them to sign on as co-sponsors, even the (desperately needed) update to Dodd's website. But this is a pretty in your face move, and it looks like Dodd is swinging at everybody: Clinton, Edwards, Obama, Richardson, even Biden, who's no slouch when it comes to pushing the administration on ending the war.

According to Campaign Policy Director Amos Hochstein, Dodd's stance on Iraq as embodied in his support for Feingold-Reid offers a "clear difference" between his position and those of the other candidates. After hearing the campaign's pitch on this on a conference call today, I'm still not convinced. I've heard variations on the "redeploy troops by March 31, 2008" from Obama, Clinton and Biden; this puts Dodd squarely in the mix here, aligning him with his Senate colleagues against the "get the troops out now" stance of Edwards, Kuchinich and Gravel. Bill Richardson's position is somewhere in between, not calling for an immediate pullout, but proposing the redeployment be completed by the end of 2007, rather than March 2008.

That said, I think this is the right time for Dodd to make this kind of move: the fundraising process stories have receded, the top three candidates are playing so safe that they're in danger of atrophy, and Dodd has an opportunity to use these ads for two purposes: first, to generate some much needed name recognition in Iowa and New Hampshire, and second, to promote his Iraq policy and draw distinctions between his proposals and those of the others in the Democratic field.



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